Sleet & Ice – Here is the Latest

January 27th, 2014 at 8:12 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather


futurecastWinter Storm Update

As of late this evening, there is not much of a change in our thinking. Places along I-10 could see significant ice and sleet accumulations. Most of the snow should be in the inland spots. The most dangerous aspect of this event is the chance of freezing rain for our forecast area. This can result in hazardous travel and possible power outages. The models are suggesting a rather quick end to the precipitation event, with most of the sleet/ice falling Tuesday and Tuesday night. This is a very tricky forecast, and we will keep you updated with the latest as the situation develops.

A Winter Storm Warning is up for our entire area Tuesday morning-Wednesday morning. A strong surface cold front will sweep through the area tonight putting the cold air in place for a significant winter weather event. Warm moist will ride up and over the cold air, increasing the chances for mixed precipitation. Many areas will have to deal with sleet and freezing rain for a good portion of this event. Some inland spots will gradually transition to snow. Here is an in-depth look at the forecast:

Tonight

The colder air begins to arrive tonight. Temperatures will fall through the 40’s in the early evening, with an increasing northerly wind. We should be near freezing in Mobile by 3am. Light precipitation may begin late tonight. Any precipitation that falls tonight should be in the form of very light freezing rain or sleet. Widespread travel issues are not expected until during the day Tuesday.

Tuesday

Sleet and freezing rain are a very likely scenario for places along I-10 on Tuesday. Some areas in a line from Lucedale – Citronelle – Bay Minette – Atmore and north of there will see a mix of sleet and some snow as the day progresses. Temperatures south of I-10 may be just close enough to freezing to keep the roads in decent shape until nightfall.

Tuesday Night

Cold air will continue to advance into the area Tuesday evening. Some areas from Pascagoula – Mobile – Bay Minette will begin to transition to all sleet, while inland areas will see a good likelihood of snow. Coastal areas and the panhandle will see freezing rain. Areas like Mobile may see a brief transition to all snow after midnight. Most of the precipitation should be ending by 3am, with the exception of the Florida Panhandle. Travel is expected to be very dangerous in most locations Tuesday night. Total ice accumulations could be greater than ¼” in some areas. Inland spots could see 1”-3” accumulations of sleet and snow.

Wednesday

The precipitation should be over by Wednesday. Partly sunny skies and temps in the mid 30’s, should allow the road situation to improve somewhat during the day. Refreezing and black ice formation could be a big issue again Wednesday night as temperatures drop into the teens. A hard freeze is likely Wednesday night. Everything should be gone by Thursday as temps rise into the 50 degree range. The long range forecast for the weekend looks very mild.

…A WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI…SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA…AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE FROM 600 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM WEDNESDAY…

.THE LEADING EDGE OF AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS AND VERY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. IN ADDITION…MOISTURE WILL SPREAD ACROSS OUR AREA AS A SERIES OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVE FROM WEST TO EAST OVER MUCH OF THE GULF COAST REGION. WITH COLD AIR IN PLACE…MOST OF THE AREA NORTH OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST CAN EXPECT A MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THROUGHOUT THE DAY TUESDAY… WHILE SNOW MAY ALSO MIX IN ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. PRECIPITATION MAY TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN…SLEET…AND SNOW NEAR THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT…AND FROM SLEET TO SNOW OVER INTERIOR AREAS. SIGNIFICANT ICE…SLEET…AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE BEFORE PRECIPITATION ENDS WEDNESDAY.

WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM CST WEDNESDAY…

* TIMING…A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET MAY IMPACT MOST LOCATIONS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE U.S. HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR AND NORTH OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST TUESDAY MORNING…WHILE A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA. PRECIPITATION MAY TRANSITION TO A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING RAIN…SLEET…AND SNOW NEAR THE COAST TUESDAY NIGHT…AND TO SLEET THEN SNOW ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION. PRECIPITATION SHOULD GRADUALLY COME TO AN END BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS…STORM TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS AROUND ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT…MAINLY ACROSS LOCATIONS TO THE SOUTH OF THE U.S. HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR. TOTAL SLEET AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE REGION. ROAD CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT…AND TRAVEL WILL BECOME DIFFICULT AS ROADS AND BRIDGES BECOME ICY. POWER OUTAGES MAY BE POSSIBLE…ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE ICE ACCUMULATION OCCURS.

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