April 14th, 2014 at 3:02 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Heavy Rain, Storms
A weakening band of showers passed through much of the area this morning. This cooled down temperatures and has temporarily delayed the threat of stronger storms. Heavier rain and storms over southeast Louisiana are heading our way for this evening.
A flash flood watch is in effect, as we expect 2”-3” of rain tonight. Some storms may be strong to severe. The primary threat will be t-storm winds and hail. There is a very low tornado risk tonight. The surface front tracks across the area just after midnight tonight. Most of the rain will be over by daybreak Tuesday,
A total lunar eclipse will occur tonight, but will likely not be visible along the Gulf Coast due to significant cloud cover. The eclipse will begin after midnight and end by 4:00 AM. A lunar eclipse occurs when the moon passes in the earth’s shadow. The result is a red appearance.
A much cooler air mass blasts into our area behind the front. Tuesday’s highs will be near 60 degrees. We do expect record cold Tuesday night. Some patchy frost is possible north of I-10, with light freezing temperatures possible up along US 84.
April 11th, 2014 at 4:34 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
More sunshine is expected this weekend, with very little chance of rain. Highs will once again be close to 80 degrees both Saturday and Sunday. Humidity will be a little higher at night.
Winds increase out of the south on Sunday ahead of the next cold front. This will make for rough surf and choppy conditions in the coastal waters. Pollen levels will remain high, especially on Sunday. Oak and grass pollen continues to be the main issue.
Rain chances should hold off until Monday. Stronger thunderstorms are possible with this front. The next front clears Tuesday morning. Temperatures will be cooler again next week, especially by Tuesday and Tuesday night.
April 10th, 2014 at 3:00 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Temperatures rebounded nicely today and will continue to stay warm into the weekend. Winds shifted out of the south this afternoon. We saw mid 70’s, blue skies, and plenty of sunshine. Rain stays out of the picture tonight. Lows will be in the mid 50’s for most locations. We hit 77 for a high on Friday with more sunshine!
Highs will once again be close to 80 degrees by Saturday and Sunday. Winds increase out of the s’east on Sunday. Rain chances should hold off until Monday. The next front clears Monday night. Temperatures will be cooler again next week.
April 8th, 2014 at 3:09 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
A sharp upper trough is digging into our region this afternoon. Some very cold mid level air is swinging in with this upper level feature. Despite some rather dry air at the surface, we are seeing some showers form. A few rumbles of thunder are possible with the heavier downpours. Pea sized hail is also possible, but severe weather is not expected. Rain will end tonight, with lows in the upper 40’s.
The northerly flow continues tonight and Wednesday keeping temperatures below average. Daytime highs are expected to be in the 70 degree range. We will see especially chilly readings Wednesday night with a low in the mid 40’s. Temperatures rebound by the end of the week and the weekend. Highs will once again be close to 80 degrees by Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances should hold off until Monday.
April 7th, 2014 at 3:44 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Storms Rolled Through !
Strong T-Storms moved through the forecast area late last night and early this morning. A number of warnings were issued. We had reports of flooding and wind damage, and one confirmed tornado near Evergreen. Trees were down in a number of areas including Daphne, Castleberry, Uriah, and Pensacola. Flooding was reported in Monroe County along AL 41 and AL 136. The storms moved east of our area by mid morning.
Temperatures will be in the lower 50’s tonight with clouds and a northerly breeze.
A sharp upper trough swings through on Tuesday bringing another chance of showers. The best chance of rain comes in the afternoon and evening. Severe weather is not anticipated. The sun returns on Wednesday with highs near 70. We remain dry, with much warmer days to end the week.
April 6th, 2014 at 3:45 pm by Matt Barrentine under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Severe Risk Increased
The Storm Prediction Center has increased our risk of severe weather tonight and early Monday morning, particularly for the threat of tornadoes.
Most of our viewing area is included in the 10% risk zone for tornadoes. That doesn’t sound like a big chance, but we’re talking about tornadoes here. Because of that, the SPC added a black hatched area within that 10% risk area to denote that this is a significant chance of not just tornadoes, but strong EF 2+ tornadoes.
Why the increased concern? Well we’re expecting discrete, supercell thunderstorms to form out ahead of the main line late tonight. These lone thunderstorms will be able to grow in a moisture-rich environment and strong low-level winds will create the shear to get them rotating. It’s these type of storms that are able to produce the strongest tornadoes, so that’s why the SPC is warning of EF 2+ tornadoes.
There is a limiting factor on the strength of these storms tonight and that is the overnight timing. The heating of the day will be gone and the atmosphere will be slightly more stable.
The stronger storms ahead of the main line could start building early this evening west of us and then move through the area during the overnight hours. A squall line will move through with the cold front itself early Monday morning just before or during the morning commute. We may see more severe weather with the squall line, but that would be mainly a straight-line wind threat.
After the squall line moves through Monday morning the rain will be done and conditions will improve as we go through the day.
April 5th, 2014 at 3:35 pm by Matt Barrentine under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Get ready for a soaker! A warm front generated by a low in Texas will be moving across the deep south Sunday and Monday. We will see our rain chances increasing through the day on Sunday with showers and storms a near certainty.
For now the Storm Prediction Center has our area in a Slight Risk environment for severe weather Sunday afternoon into Monday morning. The main threat will be for strong winds and hail, but there is also a threat of isolated tornadoes in discrete cells out in front of the main squall line Sunday night.
The main squall line will move through early Monday morning, possibly impacting our morning commute. The main threat with the squall line will be damaging winds and hail.
Another overall risk for the next 48 hours will be the heavy rain. Models are currently forecasting 2” to 4” of total rain with isolated spots getting possibly as much as 6”. That could cause problematic flooding and road issues.
The system will clear out by lunchtime Monday and our weather will quickly improve. We will have pleasant spring conditions from Tuesday right through next Saturday.
April 3rd, 2014 at 8:16 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Warm & Breezy
A strong surface high is creating moderate to strong southerly breezes. This pattern should continue through Friday, with higher gusts each afternoon. Temperatures felt almost hot this afternoon, with more readings above 80 degrees north of I-10. Skies were partly sunny today and the weather pattern looks to stay dry through later tonight. Lows will be mainly in the mid 60’s tonight. Any rain will be isolated overnight.
Rain chances increase quite a bit for Friday, with a slight risk of severe weather by later into the afternoon. A surface front is expected to cross through the area with slow moving line of storms. This boundary should weaken as it moves through into Friday night. However, gusty winds and large hail are possible, especially along and north of I-65 in the afternoon.
The front stalls off the coast on Saturday. More rain is possible as the front moves back through as a warm front. We have scattered chances on Saturday and likely chances Sunday, with heavier rain possible. Severe storms are also a possibility again on Sunday.
April 2nd, 2014 at 4:32 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Warm Trend !
Temperatures soared again today. Most inland spots hit the low 80’s, with many areas closer I-10 in the upper 70’s. Unofficially at 80 degrees so far for a daytime high in Mobile, 1st time we have hit 80 since Dec 6th, 2013 – 114 days ago.Skies were partly sunny today and the weather pattern looks to stay dry through Thursday. Lows will be mainly in the low 60’s with some patchy fog possible.
A strong surface high is creating moderate southerly breezes. This pattern should continue through Friday, with higher gusts each afternoon.
Rain chances hold off until Thursday night. Chances increase quite a bit for Friday, with a slight risk of severe weather. A surface front is expected to cross through the area with an associated line of storms. Gusty winds and large hail are the primary threats. The front stalls off the coast on Saturday. More rain is possible as the front moves back through as a warm front. We have scattered chances on Saturday and likely chances Sunday, with heavier rain possible. Severe storms are also a possibility again on Sunday.
April 1st, 2014 at 4:20 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Warm Trend !
Washington County Rainbow This Morning
Temperatures soared again today. Most inland spots hit 80, with many areas closer to the coast in the mid 70’s. Skies remain sunny and the weather pattern looks mild and quiet as we head into tonight. Lows will be mainly in the 50’s with some patchy fog possible.
A strong surface high, coupled with upper level ridging, should keep us dry for the next several days. A front will remain stalled over the plains through Thursday. Daytime highs hit the mid to upper 70’s each day. Inland spots will reach 80 degrees. A temperature right at 80 is possible by Friday.
Rain chances hold off until Thursday night. Chances increase quite a bit for Friday. The front stalls and weekend rain is also possible. We have isolated chances on Saturday and likely chances Sunday based on the current forecast.