FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Severe Threat Lower, Flooding Possible

December 22nd, 2013 at 6:31 am by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

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Rain/Storms Today

We have a slow moving frontal system that is approaching the area. Rain chances are at 100%. A few isolated severe storms are still possible today. We will see lightning, heavy downpours and gusty winds today. The system will very slowly move across the northern Gulf Coast. Rain chances remain very high through Sunday night.

Severe Threat

The forecast continues to show the possibility of strong thunderstorms with this system, though widespread severe weather is not expected. The Storm Prediction Center has removed the slight severe risk from our area.  The current forecast reflects the chance of strong thunderstorms with possible flooding as the primary threat. The front does not clear our area until late today, and moderate to heavy rain is possible throughout the day.

 

Christmas Forecast

It’s looking like a colder and dry forecast for the holiday. We expect lows in the upper 20’s for Christmas Eve with clear skies. Christmas Day should be sunny with highs in the mid 50’s.


Stormy Saturday & Sunday

December 21st, 2013 at 5:19 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

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Rain/Storms on the Way

Severe Storms are possible late tonight. The main squall line is moving slightly slower so far tonight, which changes the timing a bit.

We have a slow moving frontal system currently located near the Mississippi River that is approaching the area. Chances become likely tonight late and Sunday morning. Rain chances increase to 80%. I expect the strong storms to impact Greene, George and Jackson counties after 1am. Mobile County and Baldwin County will deal with rough weather closer to 4am.

Severe Threat

The forecast continues to show the possibility of stronger thunderstorms with this system. The Storm Prediction Center has removed the moderate severe risk over south Mississippi, and it remains well to our n’west.  The current forecast reflects the chance of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds as the primary threat. Any tornadoes that do form should be brief “spin-ups” and not violent long track tornadoes. The slight risk shading includes most of our area. We will monitor this situation as it develops overnight. The severe threat is lower by Sunday morning. The front does not clear our area until late Sunday, and moderate rain is possible throughout the day.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

A line of showers and thunderstorms will spread across southeast Mississippi, S’west Alabama, and the Florida panhandle into Sunday morning as a vigorous upper level storm system moves east-northeast over the lower Mississippi river valley and central gulf states. Some of the storms in this line could become severe…capable of producing damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. The threat for severe weather will slowly diminish through Sunday afternoon…but periods of very heavy rain could produce some localized flooding mostly east of the i-65 corridor and over the western Florida panhandle.

Christmas Forecast

It’s looking like a colder and dry forecast for the holiday. We expect lows near 30 Christmas Eve with clear skies. Christmas Day should be sunny with highs in the upper 50’s.


Severe Potential

December 20th, 2013 at 2:55 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

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Warm Trend 

Things got even warmer on this Friday with highs in the mid 70’s. We could saw a few isolated showers, mainly west of us. Dense fog is possible again tonight. More warm weather is expected Saturday. We have a slow moving frontal system approaching the area by Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances will be scattered Saturday at 40%. Chances become likely Saturday night late and Sunday morning. Rain chances increase to 80%.

Saturday Night Storms

The forecast continues to show the possibility of stronger thunderstorms with this system. The Storm Prediction Center currently keeps the most significant severe risk well to our n’west. The current forecast reflects the chance of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds as the primary threat. Any tornadoes that do form should be brief “spin-ups” and not violent long track tornadoes. The slight risk shading includes the western half of our area. We will monitor this situation as it develops. The severe threat is lower by sunrise Sunday. The front does not clear our area until late Sunday, and moderate rain is possible throughout the day.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Areas of fog….possibly dense at times reducing visibilities to ½ of a mile or less…will be likely beginning early tonight continuing through sunrise Saturday morning. A line of showers and thunderstorms will spread across southeast Mississippi…southwest and south central Alabama, and the western Florida panhandle late Saturday night into Sunday as a vigorous upper level storm system lifts across the Mississippi and Tennessee valley regions. This line of convection is expected to push across southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama, across locations northwest of a Lucedale, Chatom, and Thomasville line during the evening hours. The line should then progress eastward through much of the region during the overnight hours and into Sunday morning. some storms embedded within the line will be capable of becoming severe Saturday night with damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and isolated tornadoes possible. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.

Christmas Forecast

It’s looking like a cool and dry forecast for the holiday. We expect lows in the low 30’s Christmas Eve with clear skies. Christmas day should be sunny with highs in the upper 50’s.


Weekend Storms

December 19th, 2013 at 4:07 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

 

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Not as Cold

We warmed up significantly on Thursday afternoon with highs near 70. Surface high pressure is now off the North Carolina coast. We are beginning to see more of an s’east flow. Overnight lows will range into the 60 degree range. A little patchy fog is possible tonight. Rain is not expected.

Warmer Trend

Things get even warmer by Friday with highs in the mid 70’s. We could see an isolated shower, but the best rain chances will be west of us. Dense fog is possible again Friday night.

Wet Weekend

We have a slow moving frontal system approaching the area by Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances will be scattered Saturday at 40%. Chances become likely Saturday night late and Sunday morning. Rain chances increase to 80%.

Strong Storms

At this point, the forecast continues to show the possibility of stronger thunderstorms with this system. The Storm Prediction Center currently keeps the more significant severe threat well to our n’west.  The current forecast reflects the chance of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds as the primary threat. The slight risk area is mainly in our Mississippi counties. We will monitor this situation as it develops. The front does not clear our area until late Sunday afternoon.


Christmas Forecast

It’s looking like a cool and dry forecast for the holiday. We expect lows in the low 30’s Christmas Eve with clear skies. Christmas day should be sunny with highs in the upper 50’s.



Chilly Night, Then Much Warmer

December 17th, 2013 at 4:24 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

dayplannerChilly Again Tonight

Overnight lows were colder than expected last night. Lows were in the low 30’s for Mobile with a decent frost event.

We warmed up nicely on Tuesday afternoon with highs in the middle 60’s. Surface high pressure centered over the Louisiana coast is right over us, with a weak front over central Mississippi. Dry air, clear skies, and light winds will result in effective cooling again tonight. Lows will range from 34 inland to the low 40’s along the coast. Rain is not expected.

Warmer Trend

Afternoon readings will be mild on Wednesday with highs again in the mid 60’s. The weak front stalls across the area without any significant change in temperature. Overnight lows will also be milder in the mid to upper 40’s. Things get even warmer by Thursday and Friday with highs in the low 70’s. Significant rain should hold off until Friday. We do expect a scattered chance by Friday afternoon.

Wet Weekend

We have a slow moving frontal system approaching the area by Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances will be scattered Saturday. Chances become likely Sunday. At this point, the forecast continues to show the possibility of stronger thunderstorms with this system. We will monitor this situation as it develops. There are still some differences in timing and strength between the major computer models. The front does not clear our area until early Monday morning.


Warming Trend this Week

December 16th, 2013 at 5:00 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

 

Tonight's Futurecast Lows

Tonight’s Futurecast Lows

Not as Cold

Overnight lows were in the upper 20’s to the low 30’s last night. Surface high pressure centered over the Louisiana coast is right over us tonight. Our air mass has moderated with sunshine earlier today. Temperatures will be chilly, but not quite as cold as last night. Dry air, clear skies, and light winds will result in effective cooling overnight. Lows will range from 32 inland to near 40 along the coast. Rain is not expected.

Warmer Trend

Temperatures will be milder on Tuesday with highs in the mid 60’s. Overnight lows will also be mild in the mid to upper 40’s. Things get even warmer by Thursday and Friday with highs in the low 70’s. Significant rain should hold off until the weekend.

Wet Weekend

We have a slow moving frontal system approaching the area by Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances will be scattered Saturday. Chances become likely Sunday. At this point, the long range forecast does show the possibility of stronger thunderstorms with this system. We will monitor this situation as it develops. The front does not clear our area until early Monday morning.


Cool Down; Warm Up; Quiet Week

December 14th, 2013 at 2:44 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

TEMPS DROP!

We missed out on the worst of the rain Saturday as the heaviest stuff passed south of us in the Gulf, but we will not miss out on the cool down. A cold front has moved through the area and temps will drop Saturday night. By Sunday morning temps will be around 40 in most spots with a breeze making it feel even chillier.

As we go through Sunday our skies will clear and temps will rise, but stay rather cool. Expect to top out in the low 50s.

QUIET WEEK; GRADUAL WARMING

As we move into the work week zonal flow will be taking over the weather pattern. Essentially this means no strong fronts will be driving southward during the week. That will give us a gradual warming trend after we bottom out around freezing Monday morning. By Thursday afternoon highs will be flirting with 70 degrees.

NEXT SYSTEM

We won’t see another system until next Saturday (So if you’re doing that last-minute Christmas shopping you should take advantage of the quiet weather earlier in the week if you can).


Rain on the Way

December 13th, 2013 at 2:57 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather, Uncategorized

futurecastClouds Increase

Surface high pressure centered over the North Carolina coast pushes further east tonight. A low pressure area and associated cold front in east Texas heads our way into Saturday morning. Our winds will shift to the s’east and increase tonight. Rain is not expected early this evening, but chances do increase to 40% after midnight..

Wet Weekend

Saturday is looking quite wet! Temperatures will be briefly warmer as a front moves in from the south. Expect a high near 72, with an 80% chance of rain. We will see a few embedded thunderstorms. Severe weather is not expected. We are anticipating about an inch of rain, with higher totals along the panhandle. The best chance of rain will be in the morning for Mobile. The rain may linger across the eastern side of the area through Saturday evening.

Colder Sunday

Things should clear out for Sunday. Highs will only be in the mid 50’s. More chilly air is likely Sunday night and Monday. Another light freeze is possible by Sunday night. The weather pattern looks especially quite next week.


Cold Night, Rain Saturday

December 12th, 2013 at 4:22 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

futurecastChilly Night

Skies are mostly clear and the breezy north wind is very noticeable this evening. Daytime highs were only in the mid 50’s today. We are expecting a light freeze tonight along and north of I-10. Lows will be near 32 degrees in Mobile. Upper 20’s are possible well inland.  A few high clouds may track in late tonights. Otherwise, skies will be mostly clear

Clouds Increase

Surface high pressure centered near Jackson, TN will get a nice little push to the east on Friday. Our winds will shift to the s’east by the afternoon. Enough moisture will return to make things mostly cloudy by the end of the day. Temperatures will be near 60 for daytime highs. Rain is not expected Friday or Friday evening.

Wet Weekend

Saturday is looking quite wet! Temperatures will be briefly warmer as a front moves in from the south. Expect a high near 70, with an 80% chance of rain. We will see a few embedded thunderstorms. Severe weather is not expected. We are anticipating about an inch of rain, with higher totals along the panhandle. Things should clear out for Sunday. More chilly air is likely Sunday night and Monday.


A Bit Colder for Thursday

December 11th, 2013 at 3:21 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

 

Photo by Butch Chaffin, Tillman's Corner

Photo by Butch Chaffin, Tillman’s Corner

Chilly Night

Skies are mostly clear as we head into the evening. Daytime highs were in the low 60’s in most spots today. The sunshine and the lighter winds made it feel especially nice after such a cold start. We did see a few clouds late in the day ahead of the next front.

Clear skies and a secondary push of chilly air arrive tonight as a stronger area of high pressure moves in from the central plains. Overnight lows will range from near 30 well inland, to the mid 30’s in Mobile, to near 40 along the beaches. Winds will pick up a bit by daybreak.

A Bit Colder

It is going to be noticeably cooler on Thursday. High pressure builds in along with a colder air mass on Thursday. Winds stay up out of the north through the day, and highs will only be in the upper 50’s. Skies will stay mostly sunny.

Wet Weekend

We see an increase in clouds Friday, but the rain holds off until late Friday night. Saturday is looking quite wet! Temperatures will be briefly warmer as a front moves in from the south. Expect a high near 70, with a 70% chance of rain. Things should clear out for Sunday. More chilly air is likely Sunday night and Monday.