FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Cold Night, Rain Saturday

December 12th, 2013 at 4:22 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

futurecastChilly Night

Skies are mostly clear and the breezy north wind is very noticeable this evening. Daytime highs were only in the mid 50’s today. We are expecting a light freeze tonight along and north of I-10. Lows will be near 32 degrees in Mobile. Upper 20’s are possible well inland.  A few high clouds may track in late tonights. Otherwise, skies will be mostly clear

Clouds Increase

Surface high pressure centered near Jackson, TN will get a nice little push to the east on Friday. Our winds will shift to the s’east by the afternoon. Enough moisture will return to make things mostly cloudy by the end of the day. Temperatures will be near 60 for daytime highs. Rain is not expected Friday or Friday evening.

Wet Weekend

Saturday is looking quite wet! Temperatures will be briefly warmer as a front moves in from the south. Expect a high near 70, with an 80% chance of rain. We will see a few embedded thunderstorms. Severe weather is not expected. We are anticipating about an inch of rain, with higher totals along the panhandle. Things should clear out for Sunday. More chilly air is likely Sunday night and Monday.


A Bit Colder for Thursday

December 11th, 2013 at 3:21 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

 

Photo by Butch Chaffin, Tillman's Corner

Photo by Butch Chaffin, Tillman’s Corner

Chilly Night

Skies are mostly clear as we head into the evening. Daytime highs were in the low 60’s in most spots today. The sunshine and the lighter winds made it feel especially nice after such a cold start. We did see a few clouds late in the day ahead of the next front.

Clear skies and a secondary push of chilly air arrive tonight as a stronger area of high pressure moves in from the central plains. Overnight lows will range from near 30 well inland, to the mid 30’s in Mobile, to near 40 along the beaches. Winds will pick up a bit by daybreak.

A Bit Colder

It is going to be noticeably cooler on Thursday. High pressure builds in along with a colder air mass on Thursday. Winds stay up out of the north through the day, and highs will only be in the upper 50’s. Skies will stay mostly sunny.

Wet Weekend

We see an increase in clouds Friday, but the rain holds off until late Friday night. Saturday is looking quite wet! Temperatures will be briefly warmer as a front moves in from the south. Expect a high near 70, with a 70% chance of rain. Things should clear out for Sunday. More chilly air is likely Sunday night and Monday.


Temps Go: Up; Down; Up; Down

December 7th, 2013 at 3:33 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

CRAZY UPS AND DOWNS

If rapid changes in temperatures wreck your sinuses this will not be a fun few days. We already have gone from record highs to a Saturday afternoon in the low 40s. Sunday a warm front will rebound our temps back up in the mid to upper 60s!
That warmth lasts into Monday with temps rising into the low 70s in many areas! This round of warmth doesn’t last long either as another cold front moves in Tuesday and by Tuesday night we drop back off into the 40s.

DRIZZLES AND CLOUDS

There will be a pretty decent chance of rain Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday morning. The catch is though any moisture will likely fall as a misty drizzle. There won’t be many significant showers and cloudiness should hold strong through the first half of the week.

Something to note in all these ups and downs is that there are no freezing temps in the forecast or thunderstorms. So nothing severe in the middle of all these rises and dips the next few days!


Near Records This Afternoon

December 5th, 2013 at 2:55 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

todays_highsWarm Trend

We are seeing a significant warming trend this week, with daytime highs running almost 15 degrees above average. Temperatures this afternoon were in the upper 70’s to near 80 in many locations. The record at Mobile Regional for Dec. 5th is 79 degrees in 1998. We have peaked at 78 degrees so far today, and the high is currently at 79 for Pensacola.  It is also looking like a very warm day for Friday. We remain on the warm side of a major front. Ice storm conditions are expected for Dallas, Little Rock, Memphis, and the Ohio Valley tonight.

More Fog

We are expecting another round of dense fog tonight. A warm and moist southerly wind flow will be working across the cool near shore waters of the beaches and bays. This type of advection fog set up can result in reduced visibilities. This particular type of fog can linger into the midday hours in many coastal locations. Areas like the causeway, Mobile Bay, and Pensacola Bay can expect more issues with lingering fog into mid morning Friday.

Shower Chances

A few spotty rain showers are possible tonight and tomorrow with this moist southerly flow. We are not expecting major totals of rain in the short term, and the chances remain isolated to widely scattered. A better opportunity for rain comes in on Friday afternoon and night, along the surface cold front. Temps turn much cooler with lower rain chances for Saturday and Sunday. We do expect colder weather next week on Tuesday and Wednesday.


Warm, Foggy, Showers at Times

December 4th, 2013 at 3:38 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

jasonsmith_upper70s todayWarm Trend

We are seeing a significant warming trend this week, with daytime highs running at least ten degrees above average. Temperatures on Wednesday afternoon were in the mid to upper 70’s in many locations. It is also looking like a very warm ending to the week in the forecast.

More Fog

We are expecting another round of dense fog tonight. A warm and moist southerly wind flow will be working across the cool near shore waters of the beaches and bays. This type of advection fog set up can result in reduced visibilities. This particular type of fog can linger into the midday hours in many coastal locations. Areas like the causeway, Mobile Bay, and Pensacola Bay can expect more issues with lingering fog into mid-morning Thursday.

Shower Chances

A few spotty rain showers are possible both Wednesday night and Thursday with this moist southerly flow. We are not expecting major totals of rain and the chances remain isolated to widely scattered. A better opportunity for rain comes in on Friday, along the surface cold front. Other than a brief cool down behind the front on Saturday, temperatures remain mild. We do expect colder weather next week on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Ice Storm Well to our North

The slow moving frontal system that will keep us mild and showery is a very sharp boundary. An ice storm is expected for areas like Dallas, Little Rock, Memphis, and the Ohio Valley on Thursday night and Friday. Travel will be impacted in these locations possibly through Sunday.


Dense Fog Advisory

December 3rd, 2013 at 7:48 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
demse_fog...DENSE FOG ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST WEDNESDAY... 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A DENSE FOG ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST WEDNESDAY. 

* VISIBILITY…WIDESPREAD VISIBILITIES A QUARTER MILE OR LESS POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA BY 9 PM AND ENDURING THROUGH EARLY TO MID MORNING WITH SLOW BUT GRADUAL IMPROVEMENTS.

 * IMPACTS…DRIVERS AND BOATERS IN THE NEAR SHORE WATERS WILL EXPERIENCE REDUCED VISIBILITIES.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING…SLOW DOWN…USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS…AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

 Very Warm

A surface warm front is now lifting well to our north over the Tennessee Valley. We are seeing a significant warming trend as winds are now fully out of the s’west at 10-15 mph. Daytime highs on Tuesday were in the mid to upper 70’s in many locations. It is looking like a very warm week in the extended forecast.

Foggy Night

We are expecting dense fog tonight. A warm and moist southerly wind flow will be working across the cool near shore waters of the beaches and bays. This type of advection fog set up can result in reduced visibilities. This particular type of fog can linger into the midday hours in many coastal locations.

Shower Chances

A few spotty rain showers are possible Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday with this moist southerly flow. We are not expecting major totals of rain and the chances remain isolated to widely scattered. A better opportunity for rain comes in on Friday, along the surface cold front. Other than a brief cool down behind the front on Saturday, temperatures remain well above average in the 7-day forecast.


Warm Week With Unsettled Weather

December 2nd, 2013 at 2:54 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

DECEMBER WARMTH!

It just keeps getting warmer! Temps well above normal will be the norm this week with a SW flow off the Gulf warming things up. This flow will also increase the moisture across the area and eventually lead to some showers.

MONDAY PM- WEDNESDAY

The next couple of days we will see morning lows near 60 and afternoon highs in the mid 70s. The moist flow off the Gulf will begin to give us some rain chances, but since our atmosphere was real dry to begin with, all we will have is clouds isolated showers for the first half of the week.

THURSDAY ON…

Our rain chances increase Thursday as a slow-moving front to our west gets close. Rain will be scattered out ahead of that front for our Thursday. On Friday the front arrives and showers mixed with a few thunderstorms will be likely. Some of those storms could be strong, but at this point, the Storm Prediction Center says the event is too marginal for any significant risk.

The front pushes just east of us on Saturday… and then stalls. This unfortunately allows a low to form in the NW Gulf on the back of the front which will keep our rain chances up through the weekend as that low moves across the Gulf.

Temps should finally cool after the last of the rain clears our area sometime Sunday.

So in summary, the next week will be well above normal temperature-wise and rather unsettled with rain chances increasing late in the week.


Warming Trend; Strong Late-Week System; Hurricane Season Ends

November 30th, 2013 at 3:02 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Weather Summary:

It’s time to warm back up! After a number of chilly nights our temps are going to come back up as the winds swing around back off the Gulf of Mexico.

This will mean highs in the mid 60s Sunday, upper 60s Monday, and low to mid 70s for the remainder of the upcoming work week. Lows will follow suit with mornings all the way into the low 60s by midweek.

Sounds great right? Well there is a catch with the warmer weather. That warmth and humidity coming off the Gulf will feed into a late week system. A few showers are possible Wednesday and Thursday with the extra moisture, but Friday is when things could get really stormy with a cold front. Strong, possibly even severe storms will be possible Friday. We’ll keep an eye on this developing situation and keep you informed as we get closer to this system.

Hurricane Season Ends:

November 30th puts the wraps on the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season. We ended up with a near-average number of storms (13) but a well below-average number of hurricanes (2) and zero major hurricanes. All-in-all a forgettable hurricane season for us!


Hard Freeze Tonight

November 27th, 2013 at 3:14 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather, Jason Smith - FOX10 Outdoors

frost_advisoryFreeze Warning

It’s been a very cold day with highs in the upper 40’s. Winds have been very strong out of the n’west, adding to the chill factor. The precipitation is long gone, and the main focus is on cold weather the next two nights.

Colder air arrives tonight. We expect the first hard freeze of the season, with lows in the low 20’s in most spots north of I-10. Expect mid-upper 20’s in the coastal locations. The hard freeze means that there is an increased risk for exposed pipes and sensitive vegetation.

The gfs model is suggesting a low of 23 degrees tonight for Mobile Regional Airport. Keep in mind, that last year’s winter was relatively mild. We haven’t seen temperatures this cold since January of 2011 when the readings bottomed out at 21 degrees. This could also be a record breaking cold snap for the region. The record for November 28th is 25 degrees set in 1938.


Thanksgiving Day & the Weekend

The forecast looks cold and sunny for Thanksgiving. Highs will only be in the 50’s. We will see plenty of sunshine. More light freezing temperatures are possible Thanksgiving Night. Expect a warming trend for Black Friday and the weekend. Temperatures will be back into the 60’s by Saturday and Sunday afternoon.


Clearing & Much Colder

November 26th, 2013 at 3:17 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

winds

Sloppy Tuesday Evening

Winds began to turn more northerly by lunchtime, and temperatures have fallen to near 50 by the late afternoon. Expect lighter rains continuing into the evening and late evening. Rain should be ending after midnight and temps turn colder tonight. Lows will be in the mid 30’s tonight, with a significant wind chill.

Precipitation Ends

If you are travelling north, light wintry precipitation is possible in west central Mississippi and northern Alabama late tonight. Any issues on the roads should clear up by mid morning in places like Atlanta, Birmingham, and Huntsville.

Wednesday will be very cold and dry, with highs in the upper 40’s. A significant freeze event is possible Wednesday night. Many locations will see lows in the low 20’s just north of I-10.

Thanksgiving Day

The forecast looks cold and sunny for Thanksgiving. Highs will only be in the 50’s. We will see plenty of sunshine. More light freezing temperatures are possible Thanksgiving Night. Expect a warming trend for Black Friday and the weekend. Temperatures will be back into the 60’s by Saturday and Sunday afternoon.


From the Mobile NWS:

...WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM CST THIS EVENING UNTIL 9 AM CST WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE COASTAL PORTIONS OF ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE...

 

…HARD FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING FOR MOST INLAND AREAS…

 

…A FREEZE WATCH IS IN EFFECT LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING FOR COASTAL ALABAMA AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE…

 

.NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AS A STRONG PUSH OF COLD AIR ENTERS THE AREA IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. FREQUENT GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATER THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING ACROSS COASTAL LOCATIONS.

 

A SIGNIFICANT FREEZE IS EXPECTED OVER THE REGION BY THANKSGIVING MORNING. WELL INLAND LOCATIONS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO DROP TO AROUND 20 DEGREES. LOCATIONS CLOSER TO THE COAST WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 20S WITH TEMPERATURES AROUND 32 EXPECTED AT THE BEACHES.

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