FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Freezing Nights Ahead

January 3rd, 2014 at 3:37 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

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Another Freeze Tonight

Temperatures really struggled on Friday. Most places reported mid 40’s or lower for an afternoon high. Sunny skies did help brighten things up a little. Another cold night is expected tonight with another light freeze. Lows will range from the low 20’s far inland, to near 27 in Mobile, to 30 near the coast tonight.

The Weekend

Temperatures moderate on Saturday, with sunshine and readings in the upper 50’s. Winds turn s’e3ast and clouds increase by afternoon. A second strong arctic front approaches the area Sunday. We will see a few spotty showers along this front. Rain chance Sunday is 30% afternoon and night. Temps will be in the low 60’s ahead of the front.

Next Cold Blast

It should start getting a lot colder for the kickoff of the GoDaddy Bowl at Ladd Stadium at 8pm Sunday night, with temps falling into the low 40’s and winds picking up to 20+ mph out of the north. Another very strong cold blast is expected early next week. We could easily see lows in the upper teens for Mobile/Pensacola. A hard freeze is very possible for many areas.

This will possibly be the coldest weather we have seen in years, and records may be broken. The current record for Mobile on 1/6 is 18 degrees set in 1970. It definitely should be the coldest air of the season! Temperatures this cold will likely have a big impact on pipes. This weekend will be the time to make preparations.

Most of the precipitation should end before the colder air arrives. The models do suggest light flurries in the inland locations in the wee hours of Monday morning.  This is not the type of set up that would typically give us accumulating snowfall.

Stay tuned for updates as the forecast develops.


Cold Arrives Tonight !

January 2nd, 2014 at 3:19 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

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Turning Much Colder

Rain cleared the area fairly rapidly this morning and now the winds are really picking up out of the n’west. A wind advisory is in effect through 9pm this evening for the entire area. Much colder air is heading in tonight. We expect lows in the mid 20’s inland, to near 30 along the coast tonight. All areas will experience a light freeze. Wind chill should briefly be in the upper teens tomorrow morning.

Cold Spell #1

Temperatures will really struggle on Friday. Wind chills will easily be in the low 20’s at daybreak. We expect a temperature in the mid 40’s for an afternoon high. Sunny skies will help brighten things up a little. Another cold night is expected Friday night with another light freeze.

The Weekend

Temperatures moderate on Saturday, with sunshine and readings in the upper 50’s. A second strong arctic front approaches the area Sunday. We will see a few scattered showers ahead of this front. Rain chance Sunday is 30%. Temps will be in the low 60’s ahead of the front. It should start getting a lot colder for the kickoff of the GoDaddy Bowl at Ladd Stadium at 8pm Sunday night, with temps falling into the 40’s.

Cold Spell #2

Another very strong cold blast is expected early next week. We could easily see lows to near 20 degrees for Mobile/Pensacola. A hard freeze is very possible for many areas. This will possibly be the coldest weather we have seen since January 21st of 2011 when we hit 21 degrees. It definitely should be the coldest air of the season! Stay tuned for updates as the forecast develops.


Arctic Chill X 2

January 1st, 2014 at 3:38 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Next 7 Days

Next 7 Days

Big Changes

Big changes over the next 24 hours!! We will continue to see grey skies and drizzles overnight Wednesday into Thursday morning. During that time it will be relatively mild in the mid to upper 50s.

The changes come with a cold front that will blow in midday on Thursday. The drizzles will end, a brisk NW wind will pick up, and temps will plummet. Highs on Thursday near 60 will happen before lunchtime and the afternoon temp will be a good ten degrees cooler.

Arctic Chill

Friday morning we will wake up to widespread 20s across our area with freezing conditions right down to the beaches. Most models are suggesting low 20s inland, mid 20s along I-10, and low 30s on the water.

Friday afternoon won’t be much better with highs only reaching the mid to upper 40s with brisk winds.
Expect temps to stay cold, but rebound as we move into the weekend.

Another Arctic Chill

Sunday night will bring another cold front with a few scattered showers and, more importantly, another shot of arctic air behind it. We could see several mornings in the 20s next week. Brrrrrrrr.

Happy New Year!!


Showers Ahead of Schedule

December 31st, 2013 at 4:03 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

stormtracker_radarVery Light Rain

Strong upper level energy is creating a canopy of clouds in the mid and upper levels of the atmosphere. A few showers are showing up on radar. The air in the lower levels of the atmosphere is very dry. So, most of this rain is evaporating before it reaches the ground. Despite the dry air at the surface, we are still getting some very light sprinkles. This evaporative cooling process is also why temperatures have been so cold today.

Chilly New Year’s Eve

While we don’t expect much rain on New Year’s Eve, a few light showers are possible leading up to midnight. The stalled front over the central Gulf should be far enough to the south to keep most of the precipitation over the coastal waters. Our rain chances are at 20% before midnight and 30% after midnight. The shower chances also increase for New Year’s Day.

Starting 2014

It’s looking like a wet forecast for New Year’s Day and Thursday. A surface low and associated warm front move much closer to the area. Rain chances move up to 80% on Thursday. It’s looking colder for Friday, with freezing temperatures at night to end the week.

 


Rain for the New Year…

December 30th, 2013 at 3:16 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

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Cloudy & Cool

A weak front will push past the forecast area early tonight. We are seeing some thickening clouds across the area, but rain is hard to find on radar. Most of the moisture is in the mid and upper levels. The clouds hang around overnight with no mention of significant rain. Lows will be in the low 40’s.

New Year’s Forecast

Clouds will hang around at times on Tuesday. Temperatures will be chilly with highs in the low to mid 50’s. We don’t expect much rain on New Year’s Eve. The stalled front over the central Gulf should be far enough to the south to keep most of the precipitation over the coastal waters. The shower chances do increase for New Year’s Day.

Into 2014

It’s looking like a wet forecast for Wednesday and Thursday. A surface low and associated warm front move much closer to the area. Rain chances move up to 80% on Thursday. It’s looking colder for Friday, with freezing temperatures at night to end the week.


RAIN RETURNS; CHILLY NEW YEAR

December 27th, 2013 at 5:42 am by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

futurecastRAIN RETURNS

Get ready for the return of rain! An area of low pressure is forming off the southern coast of Texas this morning. That low will track across the Gulf through the day on Saturday arriving in the Panama City area Saturday evening. This puts us on the north (cool) side of the system, with no worries about severe weather, but a good bit of rain is likely. We will see as much as 1”-3” inches in total with the heavier amounts falling in the eastern half of our area.

RAIN ENDS; CHILLY START TO 2014!

The rain will wrap up in our area early Sunday morning, leaving us with cloudy and cool conditions throughout the rest of the day. Monday will be mild and sunny with the colder air arriving in the evening hours. That cold batch of air will drop our temps near freezing both Tuesday and Wednesday (New Year’s day!) morning. So this of course means if you have New Year’s Eve festivities dress warmly!!


More Rain This Weekend

December 26th, 2013 at 5:36 am by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Weather Summary:

A chilly start to the day after Christmas shopping madness! Dress in layers though, we will warm up into the upper 50s by the afternoon. Slightly warmer moving into Friday and then changes coming Saturday…

Rain Returns

An area of low pressure will develop later today over the Western Gulf. That low will track across the Gulf and move into the panhandle Saturday night. In our area we will be on the northern cool side of this system. That will mean a light, steady rain Saturday afternoon into the evening and early Sunday morning. It won’t be cool enough for anything frozen and severe weather is unlikely.

Chilly New Year’s Eve

Once that low moves out, temps will come back down as we wrap up 2013 next week. If you’re going out for New Year’s Eve festivities you will have to dress warmly as temps will likely be quite chilly.


Severe Threat Lower, Flooding Possible

December 22nd, 2013 at 6:31 am by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

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Rain/Storms Today

We have a slow moving frontal system that is approaching the area. Rain chances are at 100%. A few isolated severe storms are still possible today. We will see lightning, heavy downpours and gusty winds today. The system will very slowly move across the northern Gulf Coast. Rain chances remain very high through Sunday night.

Severe Threat

The forecast continues to show the possibility of strong thunderstorms with this system, though widespread severe weather is not expected. The Storm Prediction Center has removed the slight severe risk from our area.  The current forecast reflects the chance of strong thunderstorms with possible flooding as the primary threat. The front does not clear our area until late today, and moderate to heavy rain is possible throughout the day.

 

Christmas Forecast

It’s looking like a colder and dry forecast for the holiday. We expect lows in the upper 20’s for Christmas Eve with clear skies. Christmas Day should be sunny with highs in the mid 50’s.


Stormy Saturday & Sunday

December 21st, 2013 at 5:19 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

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Rain/Storms on the Way

Severe Storms are possible late tonight. The main squall line is moving slightly slower so far tonight, which changes the timing a bit.

We have a slow moving frontal system currently located near the Mississippi River that is approaching the area. Chances become likely tonight late and Sunday morning. Rain chances increase to 80%. I expect the strong storms to impact Greene, George and Jackson counties after 1am. Mobile County and Baldwin County will deal with rough weather closer to 4am.

Severe Threat

The forecast continues to show the possibility of stronger thunderstorms with this system. The Storm Prediction Center has removed the moderate severe risk over south Mississippi, and it remains well to our n’west.  The current forecast reflects the chance of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds as the primary threat. Any tornadoes that do form should be brief “spin-ups” and not violent long track tornadoes. The slight risk shading includes most of our area. We will monitor this situation as it develops overnight. The severe threat is lower by Sunday morning. The front does not clear our area until late Sunday, and moderate rain is possible throughout the day.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

A line of showers and thunderstorms will spread across southeast Mississippi, S’west Alabama, and the Florida panhandle into Sunday morning as a vigorous upper level storm system moves east-northeast over the lower Mississippi river valley and central gulf states. Some of the storms in this line could become severe…capable of producing damaging wind gusts and isolated tornadoes. The threat for severe weather will slowly diminish through Sunday afternoon…but periods of very heavy rain could produce some localized flooding mostly east of the i-65 corridor and over the western Florida panhandle.

Christmas Forecast

It’s looking like a colder and dry forecast for the holiday. We expect lows near 30 Christmas Eve with clear skies. Christmas Day should be sunny with highs in the upper 50’s.


Severe Potential

December 20th, 2013 at 2:55 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

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Warm Trend 

Things got even warmer on this Friday with highs in the mid 70’s. We could saw a few isolated showers, mainly west of us. Dense fog is possible again tonight. More warm weather is expected Saturday. We have a slow moving frontal system approaching the area by Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances will be scattered Saturday at 40%. Chances become likely Saturday night late and Sunday morning. Rain chances increase to 80%.

Saturday Night Storms

The forecast continues to show the possibility of stronger thunderstorms with this system. The Storm Prediction Center currently keeps the most significant severe risk well to our n’west. The current forecast reflects the chance of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds as the primary threat. Any tornadoes that do form should be brief “spin-ups” and not violent long track tornadoes. The slight risk shading includes the western half of our area. We will monitor this situation as it develops. The severe threat is lower by sunrise Sunday. The front does not clear our area until late Sunday, and moderate rain is possible throughout the day.

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Areas of fog….possibly dense at times reducing visibilities to ½ of a mile or less…will be likely beginning early tonight continuing through sunrise Saturday morning. A line of showers and thunderstorms will spread across southeast Mississippi…southwest and south central Alabama, and the western Florida panhandle late Saturday night into Sunday as a vigorous upper level storm system lifts across the Mississippi and Tennessee valley regions. This line of convection is expected to push across southeast Mississippi and southwest Alabama, across locations northwest of a Lucedale, Chatom, and Thomasville line during the evening hours. The line should then progress eastward through much of the region during the overnight hours and into Sunday morning. some storms embedded within the line will be capable of becoming severe Saturday night with damaging winds of 60 to 70 mph and isolated tornadoes possible. Locally heavy rainfall will also be possible.

Christmas Forecast

It’s looking like a cool and dry forecast for the holiday. We expect lows in the low 30’s Christmas Eve with clear skies. Christmas day should be sunny with highs in the upper 50’s.