April 23rd, 2014 at 4:11 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Patchy Fog thickened up enough to issue a Dense Fog Advisory last night. The fog lifted by 8 am in most areas, and we saw an especially warm day. Temperatures were above 80 degrees in most locations. More fog will develop tonight with lows in the low 60’s.
Warm Week, Weekend
Temperatures will trend above average for the rest of the week. Daytime highs will remain in the low 80’s each day through the weekend. A very isolated shower is possible on Friday, but chances are low. We are not expecting any significant rain until early next week. Monday and Tuesday could be stormy in the long range forecast.
April 18th, 2014 at 3:12 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for Santa Rosa and Okaloosa Counties until 6pm. However, most of the significant rain is shifting east of the forecast area. The low pressure in the Gulf produced an inch of rain for Mobile, with 2”-4” amounts across the panhandle. Other than isolated showers, the rain is just about over with for the night. Afternoon temperatures were a bit cool with the north wind. We will be rather cool tonight with a low in the lower 50’s.
Nice Easter Weekend
Our temperatures begin to rise as we head into the weekend. Saturday looks partly cloudy with highs near 76. Easter Sunday looks even warmer with highs near 78 degrees and plenty of sunshine. Rain is not expected. Chances also look low for next week. Temperatures will trend above 80 degrees Monday-Friday.
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April 18th, 2014 at 3:11 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
As expected, we did see record cold last night. Temperatures stayed above freezing in most locations. However, we tied the record for Mobile at 37. Pensacola also tied a record at 42. While Destin set a new record low at 44 degrees. Temperatures rebounded nicely by afternoon with sunny skies. Tonight’s lows will be well above freezing.
Things get even warmer on Thursday and Friday. Temperatures climb above 70 degrees both afternoons. Rain chances increase Thursday night. A decent chance of showers are possible on Good Friday with a chance at 50 %. Saturday and Easter Sunday look mainly dry and warm. We will be close to 80 on Sunday.
April 14th, 2014 at 3:02 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Heavy Rain, Storms
A weakening band of showers passed through much of the area this morning. This cooled down temperatures and has temporarily delayed the threat of stronger storms. Heavier rain and storms over southeast Louisiana are heading our way for this evening.
A flash flood watch is in effect, as we expect 2”-3” of rain tonight. Some storms may be strong to severe. The primary threat will be t-storm winds and hail. There is a very low tornado risk tonight. The surface front tracks across the area just after midnight tonight. Most of the rain will be over by daybreak Tuesday,
A total lunar eclipse will occur tonight, but will likely not be visible along the Gulf Coast due to significant cloud cover. The eclipse will begin after midnight and end by 4:00 AM. A lunar eclipse occurs when the moon passes in the earth’s shadow. The result is a red appearance.
A much cooler air mass blasts into our area behind the front. Tuesday’s highs will be near 60 degrees. We do expect record cold Tuesday night. Some patchy frost is possible north of I-10, with light freezing temperatures possible up along US 84.
April 11th, 2014 at 4:34 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
More sunshine is expected this weekend, with very little chance of rain. Highs will once again be close to 80 degrees both Saturday and Sunday. Humidity will be a little higher at night.
Winds increase out of the south on Sunday ahead of the next cold front. This will make for rough surf and choppy conditions in the coastal waters. Pollen levels will remain high, especially on Sunday. Oak and grass pollen continues to be the main issue.
Rain chances should hold off until Monday. Stronger thunderstorms are possible with this front. The next front clears Tuesday morning. Temperatures will be cooler again next week, especially by Tuesday and Tuesday night.
April 10th, 2014 at 3:00 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Temperatures rebounded nicely today and will continue to stay warm into the weekend. Winds shifted out of the south this afternoon. We saw mid 70’s, blue skies, and plenty of sunshine. Rain stays out of the picture tonight. Lows will be in the mid 50’s for most locations. We hit 77 for a high on Friday with more sunshine!
Highs will once again be close to 80 degrees by Saturday and Sunday. Winds increase out of the s’east on Sunday. Rain chances should hold off until Monday. The next front clears Monday night. Temperatures will be cooler again next week.
April 8th, 2014 at 3:09 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
A sharp upper trough is digging into our region this afternoon. Some very cold mid level air is swinging in with this upper level feature. Despite some rather dry air at the surface, we are seeing some showers form. A few rumbles of thunder are possible with the heavier downpours. Pea sized hail is also possible, but severe weather is not expected. Rain will end tonight, with lows in the upper 40’s.
The northerly flow continues tonight and Wednesday keeping temperatures below average. Daytime highs are expected to be in the 70 degree range. We will see especially chilly readings Wednesday night with a low in the mid 40’s. Temperatures rebound by the end of the week and the weekend. Highs will once again be close to 80 degrees by Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances should hold off until Monday.
April 7th, 2014 at 3:44 pm by Jason Smith under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Storms Rolled Through !
Strong T-Storms moved through the forecast area late last night and early this morning. A number of warnings were issued. We had reports of flooding and wind damage, and one confirmed tornado near Evergreen. Trees were down in a number of areas including Daphne, Castleberry, Uriah, and Pensacola. Flooding was reported in Monroe County along AL 41 and AL 136. The storms moved east of our area by mid morning.
Temperatures will be in the lower 50’s tonight with clouds and a northerly breeze.
A sharp upper trough swings through on Tuesday bringing another chance of showers. The best chance of rain comes in the afternoon and evening. Severe weather is not anticipated. The sun returns on Wednesday with highs near 70. We remain dry, with much warmer days to end the week.
April 6th, 2014 at 3:45 pm by Matt Barrentine under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Severe Risk Increased
The Storm Prediction Center has increased our risk of severe weather tonight and early Monday morning, particularly for the threat of tornadoes.
Most of our viewing area is included in the 10% risk zone for tornadoes. That doesn’t sound like a big chance, but we’re talking about tornadoes here. Because of that, the SPC added a black hatched area within that 10% risk area to denote that this is a significant chance of not just tornadoes, but strong EF 2+ tornadoes.
Why the increased concern? Well we’re expecting discrete, supercell thunderstorms to form out ahead of the main line late tonight. These lone thunderstorms will be able to grow in a moisture-rich environment and strong low-level winds will create the shear to get them rotating. It’s these type of storms that are able to produce the strongest tornadoes, so that’s why the SPC is warning of EF 2+ tornadoes.
There is a limiting factor on the strength of these storms tonight and that is the overnight timing. The heating of the day will be gone and the atmosphere will be slightly more stable.
The stronger storms ahead of the main line could start building early this evening west of us and then move through the area during the overnight hours. A squall line will move through with the cold front itself early Monday morning just before or during the morning commute. We may see more severe weather with the squall line, but that would be mainly a straight-line wind threat.
After the squall line moves through Monday morning the rain will be done and conditions will improve as we go through the day.
April 5th, 2014 at 3:35 pm by Matt Barrentine under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather
Get ready for a soaker! A warm front generated by a low in Texas will be moving across the deep south Sunday and Monday. We will see our rain chances increasing through the day on Sunday with showers and storms a near certainty.
For now the Storm Prediction Center has our area in a Slight Risk environment for severe weather Sunday afternoon into Monday morning. The main threat will be for strong winds and hail, but there is also a threat of isolated tornadoes in discrete cells out in front of the main squall line Sunday night.
The main squall line will move through early Monday morning, possibly impacting our morning commute. The main threat with the squall line will be damaging winds and hail.
Another overall risk for the next 48 hours will be the heavy rain. Models are currently forecasting 2” to 4” of total rain with isolated spots getting possibly as much as 6”. That could cause problematic flooding and road issues.
The system will clear out by lunchtime Monday and our weather will quickly improve. We will have pleasant spring conditions from Tuesday right through next Saturday.