FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Historic Flooding

April 30th, 2014 at 2:19 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

fishriverHistoric Flooding

We continue to experience a very unusual and dangerous flooding situation throughout our area. Significant flooding has been reported all along the I-10 corridor. We have reported about 12 inches of rain in both Mobile and Pensacola, with locally higher amounts. Doppler estimates show possible 22-26 inch totals near Perdido Bay. South Baldwin County has seen some of the worst flooding. Fish River crested this morning above 23 feet, and is now falling. This was a record crest, higher than we saw during Hurricanes Ivan and Danny. Here is an excellent report on this event from the Mobile NWS:

Light rain bands were still impacting the Panhandle as of 2pm. However, drier air is working in rapidly and rainfall rates are now much lower. Sunshine is reported over Mobile and Baldwin County. River flooding will continue to be a major problem through this evening along our local streams. Many roads have issues due to sink holes and erosion.

Forecast Improves

Drier air is working in! A series of upper level disturbances will generate a chance for light showers tonight, and again on Thursday night. Only light rain is anticipated and we don’t expect any increase in the flooding situation. The weekend looks sunny and fantastic.

Facebook: Meteorologist Jason Smith
Twitter: @JasonSmithFox10

Severe Storms Expected

April 28th, 2014 at 2:57 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Severe Round One

A significant severe weather threat is in place for our area starting later this evening. A strong line of storms will track in from the west and northwest. The threat of severe weather will be mainly after 8pm for areas in Greene, George, and Washington Counties. The overall severe risk is slight. This complex of storms will be moving well ahead of the main surface cold front. Some isolated tornadoes are possible up HW 43 and HW 45 tonight in our area, along with severe t-storms and hail. The main line of storms gets closer to the Mobile area around midnight. The storms will slowly move across the Panhandle by sunrise on Tuesday.

Severe Round Two

The next round of storms is expected midday Tuesday, with the greatest threat of severe weather occurring Tuesday evening. The Storm Prediction Center has us in the moderate risk of severe weather zone. We are especially concerned about tornadoes, specifically long track EF2 and EF3 tornadoes with this second round

Warm Weekend

April 24th, 2014 at 4:10 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Areas of dense fog will continue to hang around in some areas through 9am on Friday morning. A very weak trailing cold front will drift into the area on Friday. Very isolated rain showers are also possible early. Skies should clear as we head into the afternoon. Temperatures will reach the low 80’s. Tonight will be mild with more patchy fog and a low near 60 degrees.

The weekend looks fantastic with highs near 83 degrees both Saturday and Sunday. Skies will remain mostly sunny, with exception of that early morning fog. Beach conditions are looking great, especially for Saturday with light to moderate surf and water temperatures climbing to near 70 degrees. Storms are possible next week, especially Monday night and Tuesday.

Foggy Nights, Warm Days

April 23rd, 2014 at 4:11 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

More Fog

Patchy Fog thickened up enough to issue a Dense Fog Advisory last night. The fog lifted by 8 am in most areas, and we saw an especially warm day. Temperatures were above 80 degrees in most locations. More fog will develop tonight with lows in the low 60’s.

Warm Week, Weekend

Temperatures will trend above average for the rest of the week. Daytime highs will remain in the low 80’s each day through the weekend. A very isolated shower is possible on Friday, but chances are low. We are not expecting any significant rain until early next week. Monday and Tuesday could be stormy in the long range forecast.

Easter Forecast

April 18th, 2014 at 3:12 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Rain Ending

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect for Santa Rosa and Okaloosa Counties until 6pm. However, most of the significant rain is shifting east of the forecast area. The low pressure in the Gulf produced an inch of rain for Mobile, with 2”-4” amounts across the panhandle. Other than isolated showers, the rain is just about over with for the night. Afternoon temperatures were a bit cool with the north wind. We will be rather cool tonight with a low in the lower 50’s.

Nice Easter Weekend

Our temperatures begin to rise as we head into the weekend. Saturday looks partly cloudy with highs near 76. Easter Sunday looks even warmer with highs near 78 degrees and plenty of sunshine. Rain is not expected. Chances also look low for next week. Temperatures will trend above 80 degrees Monday-Friday.

Facebook: Meteorologist Jason Smith
Twitter: @JasonSmithFox10

Not as Cold

April 18th, 2014 at 3:11 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Record Cold

As expected, we did see record cold last night. Temperatures stayed above freezing in most locations. However, we tied the record for Mobile at 37. Pensacola also tied a record at 42. While Destin set a new record low at 44 degrees. Temperatures rebounded nicely by afternoon with sunny skies. Tonight’s lows will be well above freezing.

Warmer Trend

Things get even warmer on Thursday and Friday. Temperatures climb above 70 degrees both afternoons. Rain chances increase Thursday night. A decent chance of showers are possible on Good Friday with a chance at 50 %. Saturday and Easter Sunday look mainly dry and warm. We will be close to 80 on Sunday.

Storms Tonight, Then Colder !

April 14th, 2014 at 3:02 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Heavy Rain, Storms

A weakening band of showers passed through much of the area this morning. This cooled down temperatures and has temporarily delayed the threat of stronger storms. Heavier rain and storms over southeast Louisiana are heading our way for this evening.

A flash flood watch is in effect, as we expect 2”-3” of rain tonight. Some storms may be strong to severe. The primary threat will be t-storm winds and hail. There is a very low tornado risk tonight. The surface front tracks across the area just after midnight tonight. Most of the rain will be over by daybreak Tuesday,

Lunar Eclipse

A total lunar eclipse will occur tonight, but will likely not be visible along the Gulf Coast due to significant cloud cover. The eclipse will begin after midnight and end by 4:00 AM. A lunar eclipse occurs when the moon passes in the earth’s shadow. The result is a red appearance.

Record Cold

A much cooler air mass blasts into our area behind the front. Tuesday’s highs will be near 60 degrees. We do expect record cold Tuesday night. Some patchy frost is possible north of I-10, with light freezing temperatures possible up along US 84.

Weekend Looking Good !

April 11th, 2014 at 4:34 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Great Weekend

More sunshine is expected this weekend, with very little chance of rain. Highs will once again be close to 80 degrees both Saturday and Sunday. Humidity will be a little higher at night.

Winds increase out of the south on Sunday ahead of the next cold front. This will make for rough surf and choppy conditions in the coastal waters. Pollen levels will remain high, especially on Sunday. Oak and grass pollen continues to be the main issue.

Next Week

Rain chances should hold off until Monday. Stronger thunderstorms are possible with this front. The next front clears Tuesday morning. Temperatures will be cooler again next week, especially by Tuesday and Tuesday night.

Warmer for the Weekend

April 10th, 2014 at 3:00 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Warming Trend

Temperatures rebounded nicely today and will continue to stay warm into the weekend. Winds shifted out of the south this afternoon. We saw mid 70’s, blue skies, and plenty of sunshine. Rain stays out of the picture tonight. Lows will be in the mid 50’s for most locations. We hit 77 for a high on Friday with more sunshine!

Great Weekend

Highs will once again be close to 80 degrees by Saturday and Sunday. Winds increase out of the s’east on Sunday. Rain chances should hold off until Monday. The next front clears Monday night. Temperatures will be cooler again next week.

Cool Mid-Week

April 8th, 2014 at 3:09 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Evening Showers

A sharp upper trough is digging into our region this afternoon. Some very cold mid level air is swinging in with this upper level feature. Despite some rather dry air at the surface, we are seeing some showers form. A few rumbles of thunder are possible with the heavier downpours. Pea sized hail is also possible, but severe weather is not expected. Rain will end tonight, with lows in the upper 40’s.

Cool Wednesday

The northerly flow continues tonight and Wednesday keeping temperatures below average. Daytime highs are expected to be in the 70 degree range. We will see especially chilly readings Wednesday night with a low in the mid 40’s. Temperatures rebound by the end of the week and the weekend. Highs will once again be close to 80 degrees by Saturday and Sunday. Rain chances should hold off until Monday.