Storm Chances

April 2nd, 2014 at 4:32 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Jason SmithWarm Trend !

Temperatures soared again today. Most inland spots hit the low 80’s, with many areas closer I-10 in the upper 70’s. Unofficially at 80 degrees so far for a daytime high in Mobile, 1st time we have hit 80 since Dec 6th, 2013 – 114 days ago.Skies were partly sunny today and the weather pattern looks to stay dry through Thursday. Lows will be mainly in the low 60’s with some patchy fog possible.

A strong surface high is creating moderate southerly breezes. This pattern should continue through Friday, with higher gusts each afternoon.

Storm Chances

Rain chances hold off until Thursday night. Chances increase quite a bit for Friday, with a slight risk of severe weather. A surface front is expected to cross through the area with an associated line of storms. Gusty winds and large hail are the primary threats. The front stalls off the coast on Saturday. More rain is possible as the front moves back through as a warm front. We have scattered chances on Saturday and likely chances Sunday, with heavier rain possible. Severe storms are also a possibility again on Sunday.


Warm Week !

April 1st, 2014 at 4:20 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Washington County Rainbow This Morning

Washington County Rainbow This Morning

Warm Trend !

Temperatures soared again today. Most inland spots hit 80, with many areas closer to the coast in the mid 70’s. Skies remain sunny and the weather pattern looks mild and quiet as we head into tonight. Lows will be mainly in the 50’s with some patchy fog possible.

More Warmth

A strong surface high, coupled with upper level ridging, should keep us dry for the next several days. A front will remain stalled over the plains through Thursday. Daytime highs hit the mid to upper 70’s each day. Inland spots will reach 80 degrees. A temperature right at 80 is possible by Friday.

Rain Returns

Rain chances hold off until Thursday night. Chances increase quite a bit for Friday. The front stalls and weekend rain is also possible. We have isolated chances on Saturday and likely chances Sunday based on the current forecast.


Warm Week !

March 31st, 2014 at 3:03 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Classic Spring Weather

We saw an incredibly comfortable weather day on this Monday, with highs in the mid 70’s and plenty of sunshine. Conditions will stay nice through the middle of the week. Lows tonight should be in the 50 degree range, with mid 40’s further inland. A little patchy fog may develop closer to sunrise.

Warm Trend

Daytime highs will continue to increase as we head into the middle of the week. We expect highs in the upper 70’s on Tuesday and Wednesday with plenty of sunshine. We could even hit 80 by Thursday.

Questionable Weekend

Rain chances return by Friday as a front approaches and the upper ridge breaks down. Models disagree about the timing and placement of this front through early next week. As of now, we will keep a scattered rain chance going through the weekend. The best rain chances appear to be Friday and Monday.


Flash Flood Watch Continues

March 28th, 2014 at 2:14 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

flood_watchMorning Storms, Flooding

A heavy round of rain hit the Gulf Coast late last night and through the midday hours on your Friday. We had numerous reports of minor flooding throughout Mobile and Baldwin Counties. There were also many reports of wind damage along the immediate coast, especially along the Panhandle due to t-storm gusts. We’ll have a full update on the impacts at 5 & 9 pm.

Storms End, Return Late

Heavy storms and rain, should gradually taper off by mid afternoon. We will still see a few scattered showers around this evening. Heavier storms will roll through tonight along the surface cold front. A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect overnight.

Better Weekend

Most of the showers should be ending early Saturday morning. Saturday afternoon and Sunday both look fantastic with plenty of sunshine. Temperatures stay in the 70’s for daytime highs in the extended forecast.


Storms Move In

March 27th, 2014 at 2:35 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

stormtracker_radarWindy, Minor Coastal Flooding

We saw some decent sunshine and milder temperatures on this Thursday morning, with temperatures in the mid 70’s and clouds increasing by afternoon. The wind really increased around mid morning. A strong surface ridge area off the eastern seaboard combining with a frontal zone in the southern plains, is creating a tight pressure gradient. Strong southerly winds are gusting above 20 mph. The wind flow is creating tides 1-2 ft above normal. High tides will be later tonight at 10pm, so coastal flooding will continue to increase.

Rain on the Way

We have isolated chances of rain through this evening. Rain chances ramp up in a big way late tonight, mainly after midnight. We will see the typical “slight risk” of severe weather with this springtime frontal system. Strong storms are possible both late tonight and through the day on Friday.

Better Weekend

The best chance of rain comes Friday and Friday night. Most of the showers should be ending early Saturday morning. Saturday afternoon and Sunday both look fantastic. Temperatures stay in the 70’s for daytime highs in the extended forecast.


Milder, Rain on the Way

March 26th, 2014 at 3:19 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Jason SmithNot as Cold

Morning lows were below freezing in many areas, as expected. The low of 31 degrees in Mobile was one degree above a record. Temperatures remained cool on Wednesday, with highs in the mid 50’s. Clouds will continue to increase overnight. Lows will be above freezing. Most areas will be in the mid 40’s.

Rain Moves In

The surface ridge rapidly departs to our n’east. As a front approaches, winds will increase quite a bit out of the east and s’east on Thursday. We will be cloudy, breezy, and mild. Isolated showers are possible by the late afternoon and early evening. Rain chances increase a good bit for Thursday night and Friday. Some areas along the coast could see up to 2” of rain through late Friday night.

Better Weekend

The rain clears out early Saturday morning. Temperatures will return to the 70’s for daytime highs in the extended forecast. Sunday looks especially nice with sunny skies and highs near 73!


Frost/Freeze Tuesday Night

March 24th, 2014 at 2:54 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Turning Chilly

A surface front is now well to the south over the central Gulf. We still have a low chance of an isolated shower through late evening as upper energy passes overhead, and interacts with the front. Temperatures were noticeably cooler today. Things turn much cooler late tonight. Lows will range from the upper 30’s well inland, to the mid 40’s along the coast. Mobile should see a low close to 41 overnight.

Frost/Freeze

Much colder air continues to track into the area with a reinforcing cold front on Tuesday. We will see a significant increase in winds through the afternoon. The northerly breeze could gust above 25 mph. Temperatures will be in the low 60’s for highs with sunny skies. This cold air mass will be established as we head into Tuesday night. A strong area of high pressure builds into the region. Overnight lows will be as cold as the mid 30’s along the coast, to near 30 degrees with a light freeze in the inland locations. Widespread frost is expected north of I-10, and patchy frost is possible to within a mile or two of the coast.

Rapid Changes

The ridge slips to the east fairly quickly and temperatures rebound to above 70 degrees in most spots on Thursday. Rain and storms become likely by Friday. The weekend looks to be drier, with warm afternoon temperatures.

Facebook: Meteorologist Jason Smith
Twitter: @JasonSmithFox10


Weekend Forecast

March 21st, 2014 at 3:34 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Friday Night

It looks like a pleasant evening for any plans you might have. A surface front near the Ozarks drifts gradually to the s’east, while high pressure keeps us dry just a little bit longer. Clouds will build into the area on your Friday night. We also expect some dense fog to form very late tonight. Temperatures should be fairly mild tonight with low’s in the 50’s.

Saturday

After some morning dense fog, we turn mostly cloudy on Saturday, while temperatures stay quite warm. It looks like a fine day for the Azalea Trail Run in Mobile. Temperatures will be in the upper 50’s early, rising to near 70 by the end of the race. Daytime highs should be in the mid to upper 70’s. Showers are not expected during the day Saturday.

Sunday

By Sunday morning, the front gets close enough for us to see some decent rain chances. We have a 60% chance of showers and a few embedded storms as the front slowly drags through the area. The rain should help to lower the pollen count a bit. Isolated rain chances linger into Monday, clearing early Tuesday. More chilly air returns next week on Tuesday and Wednesday.


Spring is Here !

March 20th, 2014 at 3:40 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

Facebook: Meteorologist Jason Smith
Twitter: @JasonSmithFox10

Spring Arrives

Spring began officially today, and it felt like it. Morning lows were fairly mild early this morning, with most spots near 50 degrees along I-10. Abundant sunshine warmed us up nicely with temps in the afternoon. Many locations made it to the mid 70’s. Tonight will also be mild with lows in the upper 40’s inland, to the low 50’s along the beaches.

It looks like a great forecast for those on spring break at our beaches through Friday.

Weekend Rain

Our next chance of rain comes in over the weekend, with the arrival of the next significant front. Only isolated showers are expected Saturday. We will also see some very warm weather on Saturday, with highs in the mid-upper 70’s.

Sunday continues to look to be the wettest with chances at 60%. Rain chances linger into Monday, and early Tuesday. More chilly air returns next week on Tuesday and Wednesday.


Beautiful for the rest of the (work) week…

March 17th, 2014 at 3:34 pm by under FOX10 Stormtracker Weather

St. Patrick’s Evening

Temps will be turning much cooler tonight! If you’re going out for any St. Patrick’s festivities dress warmly as temps drop into the 40s during the early evening. Temperatures continue to drop overnight and many areas will be in the upper 30s for morning lows on Tuesday. Skies will gradually be clearing during this time as well.

Sunshine Returns; Temps Rebound!

The clearing skies will lead to plenty of sun for our Tuesday and a quick rebound with the temps. We will top out in the mid to upper 60s by the afternoon and it just gets warmer from there!
Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday all look great with mostly sunny skies and mid 70s for highs!

Weekend Bummer

Unfortunately the timing for our next system is next weekend. A few showers are possible Saturday as that system approaches and the chances will increase for Sunday.
It’s too early to forecast any severe possibilities with this system, but at this time of year any system bears watching for rough weather.